Glen Ruffle

Jean-Claude Juncker, President of the EU Commission, in an article in Germany’s Welt am Sonntag newspaper, recently confirmed what we all knew anyway: that the EU wants its own army. And the logical consequence of that is that the EU wants to become a state to which we feel loyalty. Naturally, execution of this idea would prove a disaster worse than the Euro. ...continue reading

It’s now eight months since Russia took Crimea in response to the Maidan revolution in Kiev. Few at the start of the year forecast how badly East-West relations would have deteriorated in such a small time, and how many innocent lives would be lost.

This situation is going to be seen as a defining moment for the next twenty years. While most European leaders will be gone in the next five years, Putin will remain. And his memory, which is long and holds grudges, will remind him of how, in his narrative, the West betrayed Russia. ...continue reading

The recent NATO summit in Wales has variously been described as a meaningful statement of intent or as a lot of hot air. Regardless, the Wales Summit Declaration of 5 September 2014 clearly shows that NATO and the EU are closer than ever, and suggests that the US is now pushing for more EU integration. In combination with Russia’s involvement in Ukraine, it is a gift to the European Commission. ...continue reading

Sometimes in history ideologies arise that transcend national borders, such as the anti-Catholicism of the 1600s, or the revolutionary fever of the early 1800s. In recent periods, we have seen the fight against communism and the related battle between Keynesian economics and monetarism.
Yet when the ideological fervour has calmed, it is the nation-state that resurges and fills the vacuum that the ‘idea’ has vacated. The rise of nationalism across Europe is testament to this: as the vacuous European Union struggles from crisis to crisis, so have far-right parties and nationalism across Europe emerged. ...continue reading

Like it or not - and the Kremlin most certainly does not like it - the downing of flight MH17 almost certainly involved Russian equipment, supplied by Moscow, to the rebels in Eastern Ukraine. To a greater or lesser extent, the President of Russia has blood on his hands.
Questions over how much actual control the Kremlin exerts on the ground are valid and remain open, but this tragic event reflects Putin’s breakdown in strategic thinking and lack of direction in what he wants. ...continue reading